Regularization in Linear Regression
Applied Machine Learning for Educational Data Science
Cengiz Zopluoglu
University of Oregon | EDLD 65410/20/2021
[Updated: Mon, Oct 25, 2021 - 00:42:56 ]
Regularization
Regularization is a general strategy to incorporate additional penalty terms into the model fitting process and used not just for regression but a variety of other types of models. The idea behind the regularization is to constrain the size of regression coefficients with the purpose of reducing their sampling variation and, hence, reducing the variance of model predictions. These constrains are typically incorporated into the loss function to be optimized. There are two commonly used regularization strategy: ridge penalty and lasso penalty. In addition, there is also elastic net, a mixture of these two strategies.
Ridge Regression
Ridge Penalty
Remember that we formulated the loss function for the linear regression as the sum of squared residuals across all observations. For ridge regression, we add a penalty term to this loss function and this penalty term is a function of all the regression coefficients in the model. Assuming that there are P regression coefficients in the model, the penalty term for the ridge regression would be
\[\lambda \sum_{i=1}^{P}\beta_p^2,\] where \(\lambda\) is a parameter that penalizes the regression coefficients when they get larger. Therefore, when we fit a regression model with ridge penalty, the loss function to minimize becomes
\[Loss = \sum_{i=1}^{N}\epsilon_{(i)}^2 + \lambda \sum_{i=1}^{P}\beta_p^2,\] \[Loss = SSR + \lambda \sum_{i=1}^{P}\beta_p^2.\]
Let’s consider the same example from the previous class. Suppose we fit a simple linear regression model such that the readability score is the outcome (\(Y\)) and average word length is the predictor(\(X\)). Our regression model is
\[Y = \beta_0 + \beta_1X + \epsilon,\] and let’s assume the set of coefficients are {\(\beta_0,\beta_1\)} = {7.5,-2}, so my model is \[Y = 7.5 - 2X + \epsilon.\] Then, the value of the loss function when \(\lambda=0.2\) would be equal to 27.433.
readability_sub <- read.csv('https://raw.githubusercontent.com/uo-datasci-specialization/c4-ml-fall-2021/main/data/readability_feat_sub.csv',header=TRUE)
d <- readability_sub[,c('mean.wl','target')]
b0 = 7.5
b1 = -2
d$predicted <- b0 + b1*d$mean.wl
d$error <- d$target - d$predicted
d mean.wl target predicted error
1 4.603659 -2.58590836 -1.7073171 -0.87859129
2 3.830688 0.45993224 -0.1613757 0.62130790
3 4.180851 -1.07470758 -0.8617021 -0.21300545
4 4.015544 -1.81700402 -0.5310881 -1.28591594
5 4.686047 -1.81491744 -1.8720930 0.05717559
6 4.211340 -0.94968236 -0.9226804 -0.02700194
7 4.025000 -0.12103065 -0.5500000 0.42896935
8 4.443182 -2.82200582 -1.3863636 -1.43564218
9 4.089385 -0.74845172 -0.6787709 -0.06968077
10 4.156757 0.73948755 -0.8135135 1.55300107
11 4.463277 -0.96218937 -1.4265537 0.46436430
12 5.478261 -2.21514888 -3.4565217 1.24137286
13 4.770492 -1.21845136 -2.0409836 0.82253224
14 4.568966 -1.89544351 -1.6379310 -0.25751247
15 4.735751 -0.04101056 -1.9715026 1.93049203
16 4.372340 -1.83716516 -1.2446809 -0.59248431
17 4.103448 -0.18818586 -0.7068966 0.51871069
18 4.042857 -0.81739314 -0.5857143 -0.23167886
19 4.202703 -1.86307557 -0.9054054 -0.95767016
20 3.853535 -0.41630158 -0.2070707 -0.20923088lambda = 0.2
loss <- sum((d$error)^2) + lambda*(b0^2 + b1^2)
loss [1] 27.43364Notice that when \(\lambda\) is equal to zero, the loss function is identical to SSR; therefore, it becomes a linear regression with no regularization. As the value of \(\lambda\) increases, the degree of penalty linearly increases. Technically, the \(\lambda\) can take any positive value between 0 and \(\infty\).
As we did in the previous lecture, imagine that we computed the loss function with the ridge penalty term for every possible combination of the intercept (\(\beta_0\)) and the slope (\(\beta_1\)). Let’s say the plausible range for the intercept is from -10 to 10 and the plausible range for the slope is from -2 to 2. Now, we also have to think different values of \(\lambda\) because the surface we try to minimize is dependent on the value \(\lambda\) and different values of \(\lambda\) yield different estimates of \(\beta_0\) and and \(\beta_1\).
You can try a number of different values for \(\lambda\) using the shiny app at this link and explore how the loss function value and coefficient estimates change for different values of \(\lambda\). Note that when \(\lambda\) is equal to zero, it should be equivalent of what we have seen in the earlier lecture. Try values of 1, 5, 10, 50, and 100.
Below is also a demonstration of what happens to loss function and the regression coefficients for increasing levels of ridge penalty (\(\lambda\)).
